11/4/2009
Well, the election results are now final. Out of 56,804 registered voters in the Issaquah School District, almost exactly 50% (28,329) cast their ballots in this election. Of those, only about 61% (17,420) actually made it far enough down the ballot to vote for my position, but I managed 99% of those votes.
With an uncontested race, I suppose that's about par for the course. However, there were 180 voters who submitted write-ins, which doesn't sit well with me. It reminds me that there's always more work to do. 10/15/2009
According to the Voters’ Pamphlet, Initiative 1033 is a measure that would “limit growth of certain state, county and city revenue to annual inflation and population growth, not including voter approved revenue increases. Revenue collected above the limit would reduce property tax levies.” For fiscal conservatives like me who believe in limited constitutional government and have been regularly frustrated with the inability of lawmakers to live within their means, the intent of this measure seems quite laudable.
After spending weeks researching I-1033, I still support its intent and even better understand its popular support.
Consider that during Governor Gregoire’s first term state spending increased 33%. That’s an increase of over 8% per year even though inflation and population growth averaged about 3%. The result: the inflation-corrected tax burden on the average citizen increased about 5% per year without their consent. It’s not surprising that voters now don’t trust Olympia to show spending restraint of their own volition. During periods of rapid revenue growth lawmakers will spend the extra revenue because it garners support from beneficiaries, and during periods of revenue decline they look to tax increases to cover shortfalls. So left to its own devices, government seems to grow until the taxpayers force restraint.
So why not support Initiaitive 1033? Unfortunately, it's execution is fundamentally flawed. Specifically:
- The formula for the revenue growth limit is too simplistic. The Office of Financial Management forecasts state revenue based on the change in real per capita personal income plus change in inflation plus change in population, adjusted for revenue elasticity, while I-1033 only considers inflation and population growth. So if average inflation-adjusted incomes go up due to productivity improvements (which they have for centuries), then the revenue growth limit creates a growing inequity between salaries in manufacturing and government service.
- The “Ratchet Effect” leads to significant reductions in service over time. During tough economic times (like now) we may have the I-1033 authority to raise more revenue, but still have a significant shortfall because of tax revenue elasticity. When the economy eventually recovers, revenue cannot rise back to pre-recession levels without a referendum because growth is based on the previous year only. So over time, natural economic cycles lead to lower and lower inflation-adjusted per capita tax revenues.
- The “Reverse Robin Hood Effect” redistributes sales tax revenues to land owners. Despite the fact that property taxes only constitute 10% of revenue to the State General Fund, any revenue collected above the limit will be used only to reduce property tax levies. Sales and use taxes are already considered regressive, but with I-1033 we’d be effectively redistributing those funds to unfairly reward property owners.
So what actual evidence do we have of how I-1033 will impact government services like public education?
Well, in 1992 Colorado became the only state in the nation to impose a revenue limit like the one in I-1033. During the years that followed Colorado’s per-pupil funding for K-12 education plummeted to 49th in the nation, even despite provisions to earmark surplus revenues for educational improvements and an adequate rainy-day fund before reducing property tax levies. In 2000, an amendment was passed requiring education spending to increase at a certain rate regardless of revenue, and lead to a greater portion of revenue devoted to education. However, the revenue growth limit required that other cuts in spending be made to offset education increases, and many of these cuts were unpopular. By 2005 the budgeting process got so paralyzed and convoluted that Colorado voters—led by a bipartisan coalition of business leaders, teachers, seniors, healthcare providers and firefighters—voted to suspend the law for five years to stop the deterioration of their state.
My conclusion is that despite it's good intentions, the flawed implementation of I-1033 will cause substantial harm to our state. I don’t believe education reform needs to come hand-in-hand with larger government and higher taxes, but the political reality is that passage of this measure would be a significant barrier to enactment of the basic education reform initiatives that we so boldly began last legislative session. As much as I’d love a property tax rebate, preparing future generations to better compete in our global 21st century workplace is much more critical to our long-term success as a state and a nation.
Please vote NO on Initiative 1033. 10/6/2009
Here are some great opportunities for you to meet each of our ISD School Board candidates:
Thursday, Oct 8th: Issaquah Press Candidate Forum, City Hall South on Sunset Way, 7pm-9:30pm. The forum will be rebroadcast on Issaquah Channel 21 every Friday, Sunday and Tuesday at 7 a.m., noon and 9 p.m. until Election Day, Nov. 3.
Monday, Oct 12th: PTSA Candidate Forum, Pacific Cascade Freshman Campus, 6:30pm Meet-n-Greet, 7pm-8pm. At the forum, council members will ask questions of the candidates. Then, audience members will have the opportunity to pose questions. Tuesday, Oct 13th: Issaquah Chapter Action hosted by Stand for Children at Jody Mull's 6061 167th Ave SE, Bellevue 98006 (Montreaux). 10am-11am. The Issaquah Strategy Team endorsed Marnie Maraldo after a thorough interview process with her and her opponent. The Team also endorsed uncontested candidate Chad Magendanz. Tuesday, Oct 13th: PTSA Candidate Meet and Greet, Liberty High School Room 121, 7:30pm-8:30pm. Each candidate will have an opportunity to speak, and then will take questions from the public in an informal setting. 6/12/2009
Here's a partial list of community leaders who have endorsed my campaign for the Issaquah School Board. It’s still early, so the list grows daily.
Connie Fletcher Director, Issaquah School Board Past President, Washington State School Directors Association
Larry Ishmael Chairman, Issaquah Chamber of Commerce Past President, Issaquah School Board
Mary Scott Past President, Issaquah School Board
Ava Frisinger Mayor, City of Issaquah
Eileen Barber Council Member, City of Issaquah
Fred Butler Council Member, City of Issaquah Past Mayor, City of Issaquah
Rowan Hinds Past Mayor, City of Issaquah
Judy Rogers President, Kiwanis Club of Issaquah Retired Teacher
Nancy Campi Co-President, Issaquah PTSA Council Past President, Issaquah High School PTSA
Alison Meryweather Co-president, Issaquah PTSA Council Past President, Clark Elementary PTA
Kelly Munn State Field Director, League of Education Voters Past Co-President, Issaquah PTSA Council Past Co-Chair, Issaquah School Bond/Levy Campaign Committee Past Region 2 Legislative Advocate, Washington State PTA
Lisa Macfarlane Director of External Affairs & President Emeritus, League of Education Voters
Leigh Stokes Co-President, Skyline High School PTSA Past Co-President, Issaquah PTSA Council Team Leader, Issaquah Stand for Children
Jody Mull Co-President, Issaquah High School PTSA President Elect, Issaquah Schools Foundation Team Leader, Issaquah Stand for Children
Marianne Kersten Team Leader, Issaquah Stand for Children Past President, Issaquah High School PTSA Past Chair, Volunteers for Issaquah Schools
Gretchen Dowling President, Clark Elementary PTA
It’s important to note that while I’ve provided some context on current or past positions that these are only personal endorsements and don’t reflect official endorsements of their organizations. Those organizations that do have 501.(c)(4) status (and can therefore engage in political campaign activity) will typically issue endorsements closer to the election, and usually based on a battery of interviews and questionnaires. 6/5/2009
Despite assessments that show national test scores consistently declining among industrialized nations, the Issaquah School District has been adopting higher graduation requirements, achieving some of the best standardized test scores in our state, and providing more 21st century skills that prepare students for success in college and careers…all while receiving $11.6M/yr less in per-student funding than the state average. Imagine what we could do with our fair share.
As the school board’s Legislative Representative, I will continue to fight to address longstanding inequities in state funding and local levy authorization. I’ll champion education reforms that enable us to attract and retain the highest quality teachers and principals, including data tracking systems that provide the accountability needed to ensure our limited resources are placed where they do the most good for kids.
Occupation: Software Design Consultant, Jetstream Software (former Microsoft Lead Program Manager)
Education: BS in Electrical Engineering from Cornell University, U.S. Navy Nuclear Power School, Microsoft Certified Professional
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